Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Norway has a low probability of winning the 2026 FIFA World Cup at 3.05%.

The market indicates a strong belief that Norway will not win the 2026 FIFA World Cup, with a probability of 96.95% for a NO outcome. This suggests that current sentiment and analysis do not favor Norway as a competitive team for the tournament.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors a NO outcome for Norway winning.
• 2 The probability of 3.05% suggests limited confidence in Norway's chances.
• 3 Market appears fairly priced with an edge of 0.
• 4 High confidence level of 90/100 indicates strong agreement among analysts.
• 5 Time to expiry is significant, allowing for potential changes in team dynamics.

This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.