Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Dembélé has a low chance of winning the 2026 Ballon d'Or at 1.95%.

The prediction market indicates a strong belief that Ousmane Dembélé will not win the 2026 Ballon d'Or, with a probability of 98.05% for 'NO'. The market appears fairly priced with no edge, suggesting that current sentiment is stable and reflects confidence in this outcome.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors 'NO' at 98.05%.
• 2 Dembélé's historical performance may not support a Ballon d'Or win.
• 3 Market pricing shows no edge, indicating stability in predictions.
• 4 Confidence level is relatively high at 75/100.
• 5 Time to expiry is substantial at 5601 hours, allowing for potential shifts.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.

If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).