Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Paraguay has a very low chance of winning the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

The prediction market indicates a 0.45% probability of Paraguay winning the World Cup, while the Pulse AI suggests a slightly higher 1%. With a confidence level of 90/100, the market appears fairly priced, reflecting strong skepticism about Paraguay's chances in the tournament.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors a NO outcome.
• 2 The probability of YES is significantly lower than NO.
• 3 Historical performance of Paraguay in World Cups is not strong.
• 4 Market liquidity appears stable with low volatility.
• 5 Time until the event is substantial, allowing for potential shifts.

This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.