Will Pierre Gasly get pole position at the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?

Pierre Gasly is highly unlikely to secure pole position at the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix.

The prediction market indicates a 0.05% probability for Gasly to achieve pole position, suggesting a strong consensus against this outcome. The Pulse AI also reflects a low probability of 1%, indicating that market sentiment is aligned with the AI's assessment. Overall, the market appears fairly priced with a high confidence level of 85/100.

• 1 Current market sentiment strongly favors the 'NO' outcome.
• 2 Gasly's historical performance does not support a pole position likelihood.
• 3 The market is showing low liquidity, indicating limited betting activity.
• 4 The high confidence score suggests stability in the current predictions.
• 5 Time to expiry is unknown, adding uncertainty to potential market shifts.

This is a polymarket on the driver who achieves pole position at the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix, scheduled for Mar 13, 2026.

If the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Mar 20, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”

This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially recognized by Formula 1 as having set the fastest time during the qualifying session for the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix. The market will be settled based on the FIA's official qualifying results, regardless of any subsequent penalties, disqualifications, or changes to the starting grid.

For example, if a driver sets the fastest qualifying time but later receives a grid penalty or is moved down the starting order, the market will still resolve to “Yes” for that driver.

The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.