Will Poland qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Poland has a 36.5% chance of qualifying for the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

The prediction market indicates a lower probability of Poland qualifying for the World Cup, with a 36.5% chance compared to a 63.5% likelihood of not qualifying. The Pulse AI also reflects a similar sentiment, suggesting a slight edge towards the NO outcome. With a confidence level of 60/100 and a time to expiry of 814 hours, the market appears to be fairly priced.

• 1 Current market sentiment favors a NO outcome for Poland's qualification.
• 2 The probability gap between YES and NO is relatively narrow.
• 3 Historical performance in qualifiers can influence future outcomes.
• 4 Market liquidity indicates moderate interest in this prediction.
• 5 Time remaining until the qualification deadline may impact sentiment.

This is a market on which teams will qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to qualify for the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g. they cannot reach the required number of points to advance from its group or qualify for playoffs), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or the qualifying stage has not been completed by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be FIFA. (https://www.fifa.com/en/tournaments/mens/worldcup).