Will Pure Storage (PSTG) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?

Market indicates a low probability of Pure Storage being added to the S&P 500 by 2026.

The prediction market shows a strong consensus against Pure Storage being added to the S&P 500, with a 99.4% probability for 'NO'. The Pulse AI also reflects a low probability of 5.6% for 'YES', suggesting that market participants do not expect this event to occur within the specified timeframe.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors a 'NO' outcome.
• 2 Key factors include Pure Storage's financial metrics and market position.
• 3 Historical base rates for similar companies suggest low inclusion likelihood.
• 4 Liquidity in this market appears stable with a fair pricing edge.
• 5 Time pressure is moderate with 204 hours until expiry.

The S&P 500 undergoes quarterly reconstitution on the third Friday of March, June, September, and December. The next rebalance is currently scheduled for March 20, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if S&P Global Inc. announces that the listed company will be added to the S&P 500 index by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

To qualify, the listed ticker must match the announced ticker added to the index.

An announcement from S&P will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the listed company has actually been added to the S&P 500 index by the resolution date.

The primary resolution source will be official announcements from S&P Global Inc. (https://www.spglobal.com/en/press/press-release).