Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Rory McIlroy has a low chance of winning the 2026 Masters at 9.5%.

The market indicates a strong belief that Rory McIlroy will not win the 2026 Masters, with a probability of only 9.5% for a win. This aligns with the Pulse AI assessment, suggesting a consensus on his low likelihood of success in this tournament. The confidence level of 75/100 indicates a moderate certainty in this prediction.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors a NO outcome.
• 2 McIlroy's historical performance may influence perceptions.
• 3 Market probability is consistent with Pulse AI's assessment.
• 4 The confidence level suggests moderate certainty in predictions.
• 5 Time until the event allows for potential shifts in player form.

This polymarket will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 Masters Tournament.

If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by The Masters official tournament rules.

If no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website and The Masters website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.