Will Seattle Mariners win the 2026 American League Championship Series?

The market indicates a low probability for the Mariners to win the 2026 ALCS.

With a market probability of 17% for a Seattle Mariners victory in the 2026 American League Championship Series, the consensus leans heavily towards a NO at 83%. The market appears fairly priced, suggesting that current sentiment does not favor the Mariners' chances.

• 1 Current market sentiment is strongly against the Mariners winning.
• 2 The probability reflects a lack of confidence in the team's future success.
• 3 Historical performance may influence current expectations.
• 4 Market liquidity appears stable with no significant fluctuations.
• 5 Time until the event allows for potential changes in team dynamics.

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 American League Championship Series.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 American League Championship Series per the rules of the MLB (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.

If the 2026 American League Championship Series is cancelled, postponed after November 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Baseball (https://www.mlb.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.