The market strongly favors Senegal not winning the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
With a market probability of 99.25% for 'NO', the consensus is that Senegal is unlikely to win the tournament. The Pulse AI also reflects this sentiment with a 99% probability for 'NO', indicating a strong alignment in predictions. The edge of 0.25 suggests that the market is fairly priced, reflecting a high level of confidence in the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.