Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander lead the NBA in blocks during the 2025–26 NBA season?

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is unlikely to lead the NBA in blocks for the 2025-26 season.

The prediction market shows a strong consensus against Shai Gilgeous-Alexander leading the NBA in blocks, with a probability of only 0.05% for a YES outcome. The AI model also reflects a low probability of 3.05% for him to achieve this feat, indicating a general belief that he is not a strong candidate for leading in blocks.

• 1 Market probability heavily favors the NO outcome at 99.95%.
• 2 AI probability aligns closely with market sentiment, indicating consensus.
• 3 Confidence level of 55/100 suggests moderate uncertainty in predictions.
• 4 The edge of 3 indicates the market is fairly priced based on current data.
• 5 Time to expiry is 654 hours, allowing for potential shifts in player dynamics.

This market will resolve according to the player that finishes the 2025–26 NBA regular season with the highest blocks per-game average of any qualified player.

In the event of a tie for the highest blocks per-game average, this market will resolve in favor of the player who appeared in the greater number of games. If the tied players also played the same number of games, the market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

Qualification for inclusion in official NBA leaderboards (such as minimum games or statistical thresholds) will be determined according to NBA rules and applied exactly as reflected in the official leaderboard.

The resolution source will be the NBA (NBA.com/stats).