Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander lead the NBA in points during the 2025–26 NBA season?

Low probability for Shai Gilgeous-Alexander to lead in points for the 2025-26 NBA season.

The prediction market indicates a strong consensus against Shai Gilgeous-Alexander leading the NBA in points, with a 92.05% probability for 'NO.' Despite a slightly higher AI probability of 10.95% for 'YES,' the overall sentiment suggests that market participants are not optimistic about his scoring potential in that season.

• 1 Market probability heavily favors 'NO' at 92.05%.
• 2 AI model suggests a slightly higher chance for 'YES' at 10.95%.
• 3 The edge of 3 indicates the market is fairly priced.
• 4 Confidence level is moderate at 55/100, suggesting some uncertainty.
• 5 Time to expiry is 714 hours, allowing for potential shifts in player performance or team dynamics.

This market will resolve according to the player that finishes the 2025–26 NBA regular season with the highest points per-game average of any qualified player.

In the event of a tie for the highest points per-game average, this market will resolve in favor of the player who appeared in the greater number of games. If the tied players also played the same number of games, the market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

Qualification for inclusion in official NBA leaderboards (such as minimum games or statistical thresholds) will be determined according to NBA rules and applied exactly as reflected in the official leaderboard.

The resolution source will be the NBA (NBA.com/stats).