Market shows low probability for Shem Rock winning by KO or TKO.
The prediction market indicates a 15.50% chance of Shem Rock winning by KO or TKO, while the Pulse AI estimates this at 18.5%. With a confidence level of 55/100 and a time to expiry of 26 hours, the market appears fairly priced with a slight edge towards the 'NO' outcome.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Shem Rock defeats Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady at UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy, scheduled for March 21, 2026, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No."
If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No."
If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond April 4, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.