Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?

Market indicates low likelihood of Silver reaching $120 by end of March.

The prediction market shows a 4.95% probability for Silver hitting $120, suggesting a strong consensus against this outcome. With a confidence level of 60/100 and a market edge of 3.5, the pricing appears fairly aligned with the Pulse AI's slightly higher probability of 8.45%. This indicates a general skepticism towards a significant price surge in the near term.

• 1 Current market sentiment is heavily bearish on Silver reaching $120.
• 2 Historical price trends show limited instances of rapid increases to such high levels.
• 3 Liquidity in the market is stable, with no signs of panic selling or buying.
• 4 Time pressure is moderate with 403 hours until expiry, allowing for potential market shifts.
• 5 The edge of 3.5 suggests that the market is efficiently priced based on available information.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Silver (SI) futures is equal to or above the listed price by the final trading day of March 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

For CME Silver (SI) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (March, May, July, September, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month becomes a non-active month effective on its First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.

Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.

Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.

Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.

This market will resolve based on the settlement pric