Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $50 by end of March?

Low probability of Silver hitting $50 by March end, with market favoring a NO outcome.

The prediction market indicates a 97.85% likelihood that Silver will not reach $50 by the end of March, while the AI model suggests a slightly higher chance of 5.65% for a YES outcome. With a confidence level of 60/100 and a market edge of 3.5, the current pricing appears to reflect a balanced assessment of the situation.

• 1 Current market sentiment strongly favors a NO outcome.
• 2 Historical trends show limited instances of silver hitting $50 in short timeframes.
• 3 Liquidity in this market is relatively stable, supporting current pricing.
• 4 Time pressure is moderate with 487 hours until expiry.
• 5 AI probability suggests a slightly more optimistic view than the market.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Silver (SI) futures is equal to or below the listed price by the final trading day of March 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

For CME Silver (SI) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (March, May, July, September, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month becomes a non-active month effective on its First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.

Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.

Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.

Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.

This market will resolve based on the settlement pric