Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $80 by end of March?

Market sees a 63% chance Silver will hit $80 by end of March.

The prediction market indicates a 63% probability that Silver will reach a low of $80 by the end of March, slightly higher than the Pulse AI's estimate of 58.5%. With a confidence level of 60 out of 100 and a time to expiry of 415 hours, the market appears fairly priced with a small edge of -4.5.

• 1 Current market sentiment favors a bullish outlook on silver prices.
• 2 The probability reflects a consensus among traders regarding silver's potential movement.
• 3 Historical trends show volatility in silver prices during economic shifts.
• 4 Liquidity in the market is moderate, allowing for reasonable trading activity.
• 5 Time pressure is increasing as the expiry date approaches, influencing trader decisions.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Silver (SI) futures is equal to or below the listed price by the final trading day of March 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

For CME Silver (SI) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (March, May, July, September, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month becomes a non-active month effective on its First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.

Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.

Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.

Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.

This market will resolve based on the settlement pric