Curry has a 25.5% chance to lead in three-pointers for the 2025-26 season.
The prediction market indicates a 25.5% probability that Stephen Curry will lead the NBA in three-pointers made during the 2025-26 season, with a higher likelihood of 74.5% for him not to achieve this. The Pulse AI offers a slightly higher probability for him leading at 27%. Overall, the market appears fairly priced with a confidence level of 60 out of 100.
This market will resolve according to the player that finishes the 2025–26 NBA regular season with the highest three pointers made per-game average of any qualified player.
In the event of a tie for the highest three pointers made per-game average, this market will resolve in favor of the player who appeared in the greater number of games. If the tied players also played the same number of games, the market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
Qualification for inclusion in official NBA leaderboards (such as minimum games or statistical thresholds) will be determined according to NBA rules and applied exactly as reflected in the official leaderboard.
The resolution source will be the NBA (NBA.com/stats).