Will UCF win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?

UCF is highly unlikely to win the 2026 NCAA Tournament according to market data.

The prediction market shows a 100% probability against UCF winning the tournament, indicating strong skepticism about their chances. The Pulse AI also reflects a low probability of 1% for a UCF victory, suggesting consensus on their lack of competitiveness. With a high confidence level of 90/100, the market appears to be accurately priced.

• 1 Market consensus is firmly against UCF winning the tournament.
• 2 High confidence level indicates strong market belief in current odds.
• 3 Pulse AI aligns closely with market probability, reinforcing skepticism.
• 4 No recent events suggest a shift in UCF's competitive standing.
• 5 Time to expiry is short, limiting potential for odds changes.

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament.

If it is impossible for a team to win the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament according to the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated) , the corresponding market will immediately resolve to “No”.

If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be information from the NCAA.