Will Northern Iowa win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?

Northern Iowa is not expected to win the 2026 NCAA Tournament.

The market shows a strong consensus against Northern Iowa winning the tournament, with a 100% probability for 'NO'. The AI probability aligns closely, indicating a high level of confidence in this outcome.

• 1 Market sentiment heavily favors a 'NO' outcome.
• 2 Current probabilities suggest no perceived chance of victory.
• 3 Historical performance of Northern Iowa does not support a winning trend.
• 4 Liquidity in this market appears stable with clear pricing.
• 5 Time to expiry is short, limiting potential for significant shifts.

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament.

If it is impossible for a team to win the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament according to the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated) , the corresponding market will immediately resolve to “No”.

If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be information from the NCAA.