Will Hawaii win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?

Hawaii is highly unlikely to win the 2026 NCAA Tournament according to current market data.

The prediction market shows a strong consensus against Hawaii winning the 2026 NCAA Tournament, with a 0% probability for a YES outcome. The Pulse AI also reflects this sentiment, indicating a minimal chance of victory. Overall, the market appears fairly priced with a high confidence level.

• 1 Market probability indicates strong skepticism about Hawaii's chances.
• 2 Pulse AI suggests a very low likelihood of a Hawaii victory.
• 3 Current confidence level is high at 90 out of 100.
• 4 Market appears to be fairly priced with an edge of 1.
• 5 Time to expiry is short, with only 92 hours remaining.

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament.

If it is impossible for a team to win the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament according to the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated) , the corresponding market will immediately resolve to “No”.

If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be information from the NCAA.