Will Idaho win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?

Idaho is highly unlikely to win the 2026 NCAA Tournament.

The market indicates a 100% probability that Idaho will not win the tournament, reflecting a strong consensus against their chances. With a very low AI probability of 1% for a win, the sentiment is firmly against Idaho's prospects, suggesting a lack of confidence in their performance.

• 1 Market shows a clear NO sentiment at 100%.
• 2 AI probability aligns closely with market, indicating consensus.
• 3 High confidence level suggests stability in current predictions.
• 4 Time to expiry is short, limiting potential for market shifts.
• 5 Historical performance of Idaho in tournaments is likely a key factor.

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament.

If it is impossible for a team to win the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament according to the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated) , the corresponding market will immediately resolve to “No”.

If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be information from the NCAA.