Will The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?

The market favors a NO outcome for the film's opening weekend performance.

With a market probability of 99.5% for NO, there is a strong consensus against 'The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping' having the best domestic opening weekend in 2026. The Pulse AI probability also aligns closely, indicating low expectations for the film's performance compared to competitors.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors a NO outcome.
• 2 The film's competition landscape is likely unfavorable.
• 3 Historical performance of similar films may impact expectations.
• 4 Liquidity in this market appears stable but cautious.
• 5 Time until expiry allows for potential shifts in sentiment.

This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening weekend than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekend Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/year/2026 will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend are final (i.e. not studio estimates).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its 3-day domestic opening weekend than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.

Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend.

If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If this movie's open