Will the New York Mets win the 2026 World Series?

The Mets have a low probability of winning the 2026 World Series at 6.05%.

The current market indicates a 6.05% chance of the New York Mets winning the 2026 World Series, with a strong majority of 93.95% predicting they will not. This suggests that the market views their chances as quite low, and the pricing appears fair with no edge identified.

• 1 Current market sentiment is heavily against the Mets winning.
• 2 The probability reflects a consensus of skepticism regarding their future performance.
• 3 No edge indicates that the market is efficiently priced based on available information.
• 4 Confidence level of 75 suggests moderate certainty in the current predictions.
• 5 Time to expiry allows for potential shifts in team dynamics before the event.

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 MLB World Series.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 MLB World Series per the rules of MLB (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.

If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from MLB (https://www.mlb.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.