Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 160m and 170m?

Market favors a box office below $160M for the Super Mario Galaxy Movie.

The prediction market shows a strong preference for the opening weekend box office being below $160 million, with a 92.65% probability for 'NO'. The Pulse AI also reflects a similar sentiment, indicating that the market is fairly priced with a slight edge of 3.5.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors a box office below $160M.
• 2 The probability gap suggests strong confidence in the 'NO' outcome.
• 3 Historical performance of similar films may influence expectations.
• 4 Market liquidity appears stable, supporting current price levels.
• 5 Time to expiry is moderate, allowing for potential shifts in sentiment.

This market will resolve according to how much "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily" figures found on the “Domestic Daily” tab on this movie's Box Office Mojo (https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt28650488/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 5-day opening weekend (April 1 - April 5) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

Please note, this market will resolve according to the BoxOfficeMojo figures provided under Domestic Daily performance for the 5-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.

If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.

If there is no final data available by April 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.