Will Trae Young lead the NBA in points during the 2025–26 NBA season?

The market strongly favors Trae Young not leading in points for the 2025–26 NBA season.

The prediction market shows a high probability of 99.4% for Trae Young not leading the NBA in points, while the AI model suggests a much lower probability of 2.1% for him leading. This discrepancy indicates that the market is confident in its assessment, suggesting that factors influencing scoring leaders may not favor Young in the upcoming season.

• 1 Market probability heavily favors 'NO' at 99.4%.
• 2 AI model predicts a low likelihood of 2.1% for 'YES'.
• 3 Confidence level is moderate at 60/100.
• 4 Time to expiry is relatively short at 695 hours.
• 5 Market appears fairly priced with an edge of 1.5.

This market will resolve according to the player that finishes the 2025–26 NBA regular season with the highest points per-game average of any qualified player.

In the event of a tie for the highest points per-game average, this market will resolve in favor of the player who appeared in the greater number of games. If the tied players also played the same number of games, the market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

Qualification for inclusion in official NBA leaderboards (such as minimum games or statistical thresholds) will be determined according to NBA rules and applied exactly as reflected in the official leaderboard.

The resolution source will be the NBA (NBA.com/stats).