Will Trump say "Golf" or "Golfer" this week? (March 15)

The market indicates Trump is unlikely to say 'Golf' or 'Golfer' this week.

Current market probabilities show a strong consensus against Trump using either term this week, with a 100% NO probability. The Pulse AI also reflects a similar sentiment, suggesting minimal chance of either term being used. This alignment indicates a stable market perception with a fair pricing edge.

• 1 Market probability strongly favors NO at 100%.
• 2 Pulse AI probability aligns closely with market at 99% NO.
• 3 Confidence level is moderate at 65/100, indicating some uncertainty.
• 4 The edge of 1 suggests the market is fairly priced.
• 5 No imminent events suggest a shift in sentiment regarding Trump's language.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between March 9, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and March 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).

A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.

Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.

AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.

Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not q