Will Trump say "UFC" or "World Cup" this week? (March 15)

Trump is highly likely to mention either 'UFC' or 'World Cup' this week.

The market shows a strong consensus with a 100% probability that Trump will say 'UFC' or 'World Cup' this week. The Pulse AI probability further supports this with a 99% likelihood, indicating a high level of confidence in this prediction. Given the edge of -1, the market appears to be fairly priced.

• 1 Market probability indicates overwhelming confidence in a positive outcome.
• 2 Pulse AI closely aligns with market sentiment, reinforcing the prediction.
• 3 The edge suggests no significant mispricing in the market.
• 4 Confidence score reflects moderate certainty in the prediction.
• 5 Time to expiry remains unknown, adding uncertainty to the timing of the event.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between March 9, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and March 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).

A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.

Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.

AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.

Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not q