Will Umar Nurmagomedov become UFC champion in 2026?

Umar Nurmagomedov has a 35% chance of becoming UFC champion by 2026.

The prediction market indicates a 35% probability for Umar Nurmagomedov to become UFC champion in 2026, while the Pulse AI suggests a slightly higher chance at 38%. With a market edge of 3, the pricing appears fair, reflecting moderate confidence in the outcome.

• 1 Current market sentiment leans towards a 'NO' outcome.
• 2 The probability gap between market and AI is narrow, indicating consensus.
• 3 Confidence level is moderate at 55, suggesting uncertainty in predictions.
• 4 Time to expiry is substantial, allowing for potential shifts in fighter performance.
• 5 Historical trends in UFC title fights may influence future probabilities.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed fighter becomes champion of any UFC division between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.