Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Uruguay has a low probability of winning the 2026 FIFA World Cup at 1.35%.

The market indicates a strong belief that Uruguay will not win the 2026 FIFA World Cup, with a probability of 98.65% for a NO outcome. This aligns with the Pulse AI's assessment, suggesting the market is fairly priced with no significant edge.

• 1 Current sentiment heavily favors NO for Uruguay's chances.
• 2 Historical performance and team strength influence market views.
• 3 Market pricing reflects a consensus on Uruguay's low likelihood of success.
• 4 Time until the event allows for potential shifts in team dynamics.
• 5 Confidence level indicates strong market conviction in the NO outcome.

This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.