Will Valtteri Bottas win the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?

Bottas has a very low chance of winning the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix.

The prediction market shows a strong consensus against Valtteri Bottas winning, with a 99.95% probability for 'NO'. The Pulse AI also reflects a low likelihood, suggesting that market sentiment is firmly against Bottas's chances, though there is a slight discrepancy in probabilities indicating some uncertainty.

• 1 Market probability heavily favors 'NO' at 99.95%.
• 2 Pulse AI indicates a slightly higher chance for 'YES' at 1.55%.
• 3 Confidence level is moderate at 60/100, suggesting some uncertainty.
• 4 Time to expiry is relatively short at 187 hours, adding urgency.
• 5 Current market sentiment reflects skepticism about Bottas's competitiveness.

This is a polymarket on the winner of the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix, scheduled for Mar 15, 2026.

If the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Mar 22, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”

This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially listed in first place in the Final Classification published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The Final Classification is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments.

Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the Final Classification will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market.

The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.