Will Venezuela win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?

Venezuela has a low chance of winning the 2026 World Baseball Classic at 4.85%.

The prediction market indicates a 4.85% probability of Venezuela winning the 2026 World Baseball Classic, suggesting a strong belief in their unlikelihood to succeed. With a majority probability of 95.15% for a NO outcome, the market appears to be fairly priced with no significant edge. The confidence level is moderate, indicating some uncertainty in the predictions.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors a NO outcome for Venezuela's victory.
• 2 The probability of 4.85% suggests limited confidence in Venezuela's chances.
• 3 Market pricing indicates no significant edge, reflecting balanced opinions.
• 4 Confidence level of 75/100 shows moderate certainty in the predictions.
• 5 Time to expiry is 212 hours, allowing for potential shifts in team dynamics.

This market will resolve to the team that wins the 2026 World Baseball Classic (WBC).

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 WBC per the rules of the tournament (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.

If the 2026 WBC tournament is cancelled, postponed after March 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the tournament organizer (https://www.mlb.com/world-baseball-classic); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.