Will Vertiv Holdings (VRT) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?

High probability for Vertiv Holdings to be added to the S&P 500 by March 2026.

The market shows a strong consensus with a 99.95% probability that Vertiv Holdings will be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026. The Pulse AI also supports this view with a 98.45% probability, indicating overall confidence in this outcome. However, the edge of -1.5 suggests that the market is fairly priced, reflecting a balanced sentiment among participants.

• 1 Market probability indicates overwhelming confidence in the addition of VRT.
• 2 Pulse AI probability aligns closely with market sentiment, reinforcing the prediction.
• 3 The edge of -1.5 suggests no significant mispricing in the current market.
• 4 Confidence level of 65/100 indicates moderate certainty among analysts.
• 5 Time to expiry is relatively short at 491 hours, keeping market dynamics fluid.

The S&P 500 undergoes quarterly reconstitution on the third Friday of March, June, September, and December. The next rebalance is currently scheduled for March 20, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if S&P Global Inc. announces that the listed company will be added to the S&P 500 index by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

To qualify, the listed ticker must match the announced ticker added to the index.

An announcement from S&P will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the listed company has actually been added to the S&P 500 index by the resolution date.

The primary resolution source will be official announcements from S&P Global Inc. (https://www.spglobal.com/en/press/press-release).