Will Virginia win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?

Virginia is not expected to win the 2026 NCAA Tournament according to current market data.

The prediction market shows a strong consensus against Virginia winning the 2026 NCAA Tournament, with a 100% probability of NO. The Pulse AI also reflects this sentiment, indicating a very low likelihood of a YES outcome. The market appears fairly priced with a high confidence level.

• 1 Market shows a definitive NO at 100% probability.
• 2 Pulse AI aligns closely with market sentiment at 99% NO.
• 3 High confidence level of 90 suggests strong market stability.
• 4 Market appears fairly priced with minimal edge.
• 5 Time to expiry is short at 93 hours, indicating urgency.

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament.

If it is impossible for a team to win the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament according to the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated) , the corresponding market will immediately resolve to “No”.

If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be information from the NCAA.