Will Waymo have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

Waymo is unlikely to have the highest IPO Market Cap in 2026 according to current probabilities.

The prediction market shows a strong consensus against Waymo achieving the highest IPO Market Cap in 2026, with a NO probability of 99.8%. The Pulse AI also reflects this sentiment, indicating a low likelihood of a YES outcome at 3.7%. The market appears fairly priced with a confidence level of 60 out of 100.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors a NO outcome.
• 2 Waymo's competitive position in the autonomous vehicle sector is critical.
• 3 Historical data suggests low probabilities for high IPO valuations in this sector.
• 4 Market liquidity appears stable, supporting current pricing.
• 5 Time until expiry allows for potential shifts in market dynamics.

This market will resolve to the company that achieves the highest market capitalization in U.S. dollars based on the official closing price on its first trading day in 2026.

This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.

If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.

Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.

In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the