Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $40 in April?

Market indicates low likelihood of WTI Crude Oil hitting $40 in April.

The prediction market shows a 2.45% probability for WTI Crude Oil to hit $40 in April, while the Pulse AI suggests a slightly higher probability of 5.95%. With a confidence level of 60/100 and a time to expiry of 811 hours, the market appears fairly priced with a low edge of 3.5.

• 1 Current market sentiment is strongly against WTI hitting $40.
• 2 Historical trends show oil prices are less likely to drop to this level.
• 3 Liquidity in the market appears stable with low volatility.
• 4 Time pressure is moderate with over 30 days until expiry.
• 5 Market confidence is relatively cautious at 60/100.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during April 2026, any 1-minute candle for the Active Month of WTI Crude Oil futures has a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For WTI futures, the active month refers to the nearest listed contract month. The active month changes at 6:00:00 PM ET at the start of the trading session two business days prior to that contract's last trading day, at which point the next listed contract becomes the active month.

For WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures, the last trading day is defined as three business days prior to the 25th calendar day of the month preceding the contract's delivery month, consistent with CME contract specifications.

Only prices achieved during the applicable trading session for the underlying market will be considered. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours as listed on Pyth.

Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.

If the Active Month contract does not trade at