Will Yousri Belgaroui win by KO or TKO?

Yousri Belgaroui has a slight edge to win by KO or TKO at 56%.

The market shows a 56% probability for Yousri Belgaroui to win by KO or TKO, indicating a close contest. With the Pulse AI probability at 51% for a win by KO or TKO, the data suggests uncertainty in the outcome. The edge of -5 indicates insufficient data for a confident assessment.

• 1 Market probability favors Belgaroui slightly at 56%.
• 2 Pulse AI shows a very close probability at 51%.
• 3 The edge of -5 suggests limited data for a strong conclusion.
• 4 Confidence level is moderate at 55/100.
• 5 Time to expiry is short at 11 hours, increasing urgency.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Yousri Belgaroui defeats Mansur Abdul-Malik at UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer, scheduled for March 28, 2026, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No."

If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No."

If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond April 11, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.