Zhang vs. Mannarino: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5

Market favors over 8.5 games in Set 1 with high confidence.

The prediction market indicates an 83.5% probability for over 8.5 games in Set 1, supported by an AI probability of 80.5%. The market appears fairly priced with a slight edge of -3, suggesting balanced expectations. Confidence is moderate at 55/100, reflecting some uncertainty.

• 1 Current market sentiment strongly favors the over.
• 2 High probability suggests confidence in extended gameplay.
• 3 Historical data may support similar outcomes in past matches.
• 4 Liquidity in the market appears stable, allowing for reliable betting.
• 5 Time to expiry indicates a longer window for potential shifts in sentiment.

This market refers to the tennis match between Zhizhen Zhang and Adrian Mannarino in the Miami Open, scheduled for March 18 2026.
This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in the first set equals or exceeds 9. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under."
Any first-set tiebreak counts as one (1) game toward the total.
If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or delayed beyond 7 days without commencement, this market will also resolve 50-50.
Resolution will be based on official ATP results.