Markets / Entertainment

🎬 Entertainment Markets

96 live markets · AI Pulse Scores on every one

⚡ Top Edge 🎯 High Confidence 💰 Most Volume 🆕 Newest
Will anyone have an uncommon pet in tonight's movie? Excludes Dog, Cat, and Fish. (March 16 2026)
55%
Market YES
45%
Market NO
Manifold
⚡ Pulse Score
~ AI: 50% -5 pts
55/100
There's a 55% chance of an uncommon pet appearing in tonight's movie.
Will there be any future celebrities in tonight's movie? (March 9 2026)
17.53%
Market YES
82%
Market NO
Manifold
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 22.53% +5 pts
55/100
Pulse verdict: NO — confidence 55/100. Insufficient data for a confident assessment.
Oscars 2026: Will the same film win best picture and best director?
71.74%
Market YES
28%
Market NO
Manifold
⚡ Pulse Score
YES AI: 66.74% -5 pts
55/100
Pulse verdict: YES — confidence 55/100. Insufficient data for a confident assessment.
Will a new Tremors movie release before 2030?
54.75%
Market YES
45%
Market NO
Manifold
⚡ Pulse Score
~ AI: 49.75% -5 pts
45/100
Pulse verdict: uncertain — confidence 45/100. Insufficient data for a confident assessment.
Will a movie released in 2026 gross over 1 billion dollars?
86.48%
Market YES
14%
Market NO
Manifold
⚡ Pulse Score
YES AI: 81.48% -5 pts
50/100
Pulse verdict: YES — confidence 50/100. Insufficient data for a confident assessment.
Will Spotify remain the most popular music streaming platform in the US at the end of 2026?
87%
Market YES
13%
Market NO
Manifold
⚡ Pulse Score
YES AI: 82% -5 pts
50/100
Pulse verdict: YES — confidence 50/100. Insufficient data for a confident assessment.
Will Clavicular go clubbing 0-2 times in March?
3.1%
Market YES
97%
Market NO
Polymarket
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 8.1% +5 pts
50/100
Pulse verdict: NO — confidence 50/100. Insufficient data for a confident assessment.
Will Clavicular go clubbing 3-4 times in March?
9.75%
Market YES
90%
Market NO
Polymarket
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 14.75% +5 pts
50/100
Pulse verdict: NO — confidence 50/100. Insufficient data for a confident assessment.
Will Clavicular go clubbing 11 or more times in March?
37%
Market YES
63%
Market NO
Polymarket
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 42% +5 pts
50/100
Pulse verdict: NO — confidence 50/100. Insufficient data for a confident assessment.
Will Hamnet be the Oscars 2026 Best Picture Winner?
1.01%
Market YES
99%
Market NO
Manifold
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 6.01% +5 pts
50/100
Pulse verdict: NO — confidence 50/100. Insufficient data for a confident assessment.
Will Disney/Universal win their lawsuit against Midjourney
25%
Market YES
75%
Market NO
Manifold
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 30% +5 pts
40/100
Pulse verdict: NO — confidence 40/100. Insufficient data for a confident assessment.
Will Taylor Swift make the best selling album in the US in 2026?
46.06%
Market YES
54%
Market NO
Manifold
⚡ Pulse Score
~ AI: 51.06% +5 pts
50/100
The market shows a close split on Taylor Swift's chances for the best-selling album in 2026.
Will Taylor Swift act in a feature length movie before the end of 2026?
16.51%
Market YES
83%
Market NO
Manifold
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 21.51% +5 pts
55/100
Pulse verdict: NO — confidence 55/100. Insufficient data for a confident assessment.
Will the Super Mario Galaxy movie feature a teaser for a Legend of Zelda film?
39.67%
Market YES
60%
Market NO
Manifold
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 44.67% +5 pts
50/100
Pulse verdict: NO — confidence 50/100. Insufficient data for a confident assessment.
2030 Oscars or earlier will have a movie nominated with significant portion playing in a US migrant detention center
96.8%
Market YES
3%
Market NO
Manifold
⚡ Pulse Score
YES AI: 91.8% -5 pts
40/100
High probability for a film set in a US migrant detention center to be nominated by 2030 Oscars.
Will Timothee Chalamet win an Oscar before 2030?
33.61%
Market YES
66%
Market NO
Manifold
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 38.61% +5 pts
45/100
Pulse verdict: NO — confidence 45/100. Insufficient data for a confident assessment.
Will the eventual Best Picture winner also win Best Director at the 2026 Oscars?
77.02%
Market YES
23%
Market NO
Manifold
⚡ Pulse Score
YES AI: 72.02% -5 pts
55/100
Pulse verdict: YES — confidence 55/100. Insufficient data for a confident assessment.
A significant theme or plot point in the next James Bond movie will be stochastic terrorism?
22%
Market YES
78%
Market NO
Manifold
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 27% +5 pts
40/100
Pulse verdict: NO — confidence 40/100. Insufficient data for a confident assessment.
Will "The Secret Agent" win an Oscar?
1%
Market YES
99%
Market NO
Manifold
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 6% +5 pts
50/100
Pulse verdict: NO — confidence 50/100. Insufficient data for a confident assessment.
Will someone say “Fuck Ice” And/Or “Free Palestine” at the Oscars?
28.79%
Market YES
71%
Market NO
Manifold
Vol $3K
⚡ Pulse Score
~ AI: 49.04% +5 pts
55/100
There's a nearly even chance someone will say these phrases at the Oscars.
Midjourney is credited by name in a movie which is nominated for an Oscar before 4/2028
28.22%
Market YES
72%
Market NO
Manifold
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 33.22% +5 pts
40/100
Pulse verdict: NO — confidence 40/100. Insufficient data for a confident assessment.
Will Kevin Hart host the Oscars before 2031?
23.77%
Market YES
76%
Market NO
Manifold
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 28.77% +5 pts
45/100
Pulse verdict: NO — confidence 45/100. Insufficient data for a confident assessment.
What will Tumbles rate the Project Hail Mary movie out of 10?
76%
Market YES
24%
Market NO
Manifold
⚡ Pulse Score
YES AI: 71% -5 pts
50/100
Pulse verdict: YES — confidence 50/100. Insufficient data for a confident assessment.
Will there be a tie at the 2027 Oscars?
9.81%
Market YES
90%
Market NO
Manifold
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 14.81% +5 pts
40/100
Pulse verdict: NO — confidence 40/100. Insufficient data for a confident assessment.
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