Events › Geopolitics › Conditional on China beating the USA to the M…
Geopolitics 1 platform 1 market

Conditional on China beating the USA to the Moon, will a female walk on the Moon as part of China's first such mission?

Combined AI YES
41%
Avg Confidence
40/100
Combined Volume
$0K
Platform Comparison
Manifold
Conditional on China beating the USA to the Moon, will a fem…
42.00%
41.00%
AI YES
-1
Edge pts
40
Confidence
—
Volume
Platform Comparison
Platform Market YES AI YES Edge Confidence Volume
Manifold
Conditional on China beating the USA to the Moon, will …
 42.00% 41.00% -1
40
—
Odds by Platform
Manifold
YES 42.00% NO 58.00%
⚡ AI Market Analysis
  • 1 Current market sentiment favors no female astronaut at 58%.
  • 2 Both market and AI probabilities are closely aligned, indicating consensus.
  • 3 Low confidence level (40/100) suggests uncertainty in predictions.
  • 4 Edge of -1 indicates insufficient data for a confident assessment.
  • 5 Time to expiry is extensive, allowing for potential shifts in sentiment.
AI-generated analysis. Not financial advice.
Event Info
Category Geopolitics
Platforms 1 platform
Markets 1 market
Markets on this Event
Manifold 42.00%
Conditional on China beating the USA to the Moon, will a fem…
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