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AI & Tech 1 platform 1 market

Contingent on AI being perceived as a threat, will humans deliberately cause an AI winter before 2030?

Combined AI YES
21.5%
Avg Confidence
45/100
Combined Volume
$3K
Platform Comparison
Manifold
Contingent on AI being perceived as a threat, will humans de…
17.20%
21.48%
AI YES
+4.5
Edge pts
45
Confidence
$3K
Volume
Platform Comparison
Platform Market YES AI YES Edge Confidence Volume
Manifold
Contingent on AI being perceived as a threat, will huma…
 17.20% 21.48% +4.5
45
$3K
Odds by Platform
Manifold
YES 17.20% NO 82.80%
⚡ AI Market Analysis
  • 1 Current market probability for a deliberate AI winter is low at 16.98%.
  • 2 Pulse AI probability aligns closely, indicating consensus at 21.48%.
  • 3 Market confidence is moderate at 45/100, suggesting uncertainty remains.
  • 4 The edge of 4.5 indicates the market is fairly priced without extreme bias.
  • 5 Time to expiry is substantial at 33170 hours, allowing for potential shifts in sentiment.
AI-generated analysis. Not financial advice.
Event Info
Category AI & Tech
Platforms 1 platform
Markets 1 market
Markets on this Event
Manifold 17.20%
Contingent on AI being perceived as a threat, will humans de…
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