Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by March 31?

Platform Comparison

Polymarket

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by March 31?…

4.30%

7.80%

AI YES

+3.5

Edge pts

Confidence

$294K

Volume

Detail Trade →

Polymarket

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?…

39.50%

41.50%

AI YES

Edge pts

Confidence

$171K

Volume

Detail Trade →

Platform Comparison

Platform	Market YES	AI YES	Edge	Confidence	Volume
Polymarket Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by March 31?…	4.30%	7.80%	+3.5	60	$294K	Detail Trade →
Polymarket Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?… near	39.50%	41.50%	+2	75	$171K	Detail Trade →

Odds by Platform

Polymarket

YES 4.30% NO 95.70%

Polymarket

YES 39.50% NO 60.50%

Spread: 35.2 pts — platforms disagree significantly.

⚡ AI Market Analysis

1 Current market sentiment favors a prolonged conflict over a peace deal.
2 The probabilities suggest a balanced view, with slight skepticism towards a resolution.
3 Historical trends show that geopolitical agreements often take longer than anticipated.
4 Market liquidity appears stable, reflecting consistent interest in this geopolitical issue.
5 Time until expiry is substantial, allowing for potential developments to influence outcomes.