Events › AI & Tech › Will a sentient AI system have existed before…
AI & Tech 1 platform 1 market

Will a sentient AI system have existed before 2040? [Resolves to 2100 expert consensus]

Combined AI YES
56.4%
Avg Confidence
50/100
Combined Volume
$19K
Platform Comparison
Manifold
Will a sentient AI system have existed before 2040? [Resolve…
58.44%
56.37%
AI YES
-1.5
Edge pts
50
Confidence
$19K
Volume
Platform Comparison
Platform Market YES AI YES Edge Confidence Volume
Manifold
Will a sentient AI system have existed before 2040? [Re…
 58.44% 56.37% -1.5
50
$19K
Odds by Platform
Manifold
YES 58.44% NO 41.56%
⚡ AI Market Analysis
  • 1 Current market probability favors the existence of sentient AI.
  • 2 Expert consensus by 2100 will ultimately determine resolution.
  • 3 Market confidence is moderate at 50 out of 100.
  • 4 Time to expiry is extensive, allowing for potential developments.
  • 5 Liquidity appears stable, with no extreme fluctuations noted.
AI-generated analysis. Not financial advice.
Event Info
Category AI & Tech
Platforms 1 platform
Markets 1 market
Markets on this Event
Manifold 58.44%
Will a sentient AI system have existed before 2040? [Resolve…
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