Will Dan Sullivan win re-election to Alaska's Senate seat in 2026?

Platform Comparison

Manifold

Will Dan Sullivan win re-election to Alaska's Senate seat in…

45.61%

48.02%

AI YES

+1.5

Edge pts

Confidence

$28K

Volume

Detail Trade →

Manifold

Will Susan Collins win re-election to Maine's Senate seat in…

25.49%

29.79%

AI YES

+1.5

Edge pts

Confidence

$1K

Volume

Detail Trade →

Manifold

Will Dan Osborn be elected to Nebraska's US Senate seat in 2…

28.00%

29.50%

AI YES

+1.5

Edge pts

Confidence

$1K

Volume

Detail Trade →

Platform Comparison

Platform	Market YES	AI YES	Edge	Confidence	Volume
Manifold Will Dan Sullivan win re-election to Alaska's Senate se…	45.61%	48.02%	+1.5	55	$28K	Detail Trade →
Manifold Will Susan Collins win re-election to Maine's Senate se… near	25.49%	29.79%	+1.5	55	$1K	Detail Trade →
Manifold Will Dan Osborn be elected to Nebraska's US Senate seat… near	28.00%	29.50%	+1.5	55	$1K	Detail Trade →

Odds by Platform

Manifold

YES 45.61% NO 54.39%

Manifold

YES 25.49% NO 74.51%

Manifold

YES 28.00% NO 72.00%

Spread: 20.1 pts — platforms disagree significantly.

⚡ AI Market Analysis

1 Current market sentiment shows a nearly even split on re-election prospects.
2 Sullivan's incumbency may play a crucial role in voter decision-making.
3 Historical trends indicate incumbents often have an advantage in re-elections.
4 Market liquidity appears stable, suggesting active participation from traders.
5 The time to expiry allows for potential shifts in public opinion and campaigning.