Events › Other › Will Hikaru Nakamura win the 2026 FIDE Candid…
Other 1 platform 6 markets

Will Hikaru Nakamura win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?

Combined AI YES
17.1%
Avg Confidence
59/100
Combined Volume
$996K
Platform Comparison
Polymarket
Will Hikaru Nakamura win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament…
9.50%
21.00%
AI YES
+1.5
Edge pts
60
Confidence
$219K
Volume
Polymarket
Will Matthias Bluebaum win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tourname…
3.20%
4.85%
AI YES
+1.5
Edge pts
60
Confidence
$183K
Volume
Polymarket
Will Fabiano Caruana win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament…
39.50%
32.00%
AI YES
+1.5
Edge pts
60
Confidence
$180K
Volume
Polymarket
Will Javokhir Sindarov win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tourname…
17.00%
17.00%
AI YES
+1.5
Edge pts
55
Confidence
$144K
Volume
Polymarket
Will Anish Giri win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?…
3.50%
12.00%
AI YES
+1.5
Edge pts
60
Confidence
$141K
Volume
Platform Comparison
Platform Market YES AI YES Edge Confidence Volume
Polymarket
Will Hikaru Nakamura win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tourn…
 9.50% 21.00% +1.5
60
$219K
Polymarket
Will Matthias Bluebaum win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tou…
near 		3.20% 4.85% +1.5
60
$183K
Polymarket
Will Fabiano Caruana win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tourn…
near 		39.50% 32.00% +1.5
60
$180K
Polymarket
Will Javokhir Sindarov win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tou…
near 		17.00% 17.00% +1.5
55
$144K
Polymarket
Will Anish Giri win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament…
near 		3.50% 12.00% +1.5
60
$141K
Odds by Platform
Polymarket
YES 9.50% NO 90.50%
Polymarket
YES 3.20% NO 96.80%
Polymarket
YES 39.50% NO 60.50%
Polymarket
YES 17.00% NO 83.00%
Polymarket
YES 3.50% NO 96.50%
Spread: 36.3 pts — platforms disagree significantly.
⚡ AI Market Analysis
  • 1 Market probability suggests skepticism about Nakamura's chances.
  • 2 Pulse AI indicates a slightly more optimistic view than the market.
  • 3 The edge of 1.5 suggests the market is well-aligned with expectations.
  • 4 Confidence level of 60/100 reflects moderate uncertainty.
  • 5 Time to expiry of 664 hours allows for significant developments.
AI-generated analysis. Not financial advice.
Event Info
Category Other
Platforms 1 platform
Markets 6 markets
Markets on this Event
Polymarket 9.50%
Will Hikaru Nakamura win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament…
Polymarket 3.20%
Will Matthias Bluebaum win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tourname…
Polymarket 39.50%
Will Fabiano Caruana win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament…
Polymarket 17.00%
Will Javokhir Sindarov win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tourname…
Polymarket 3.50%
Will Anish Giri win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?…
+1 more markets
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