Will Iran's regime fall in 2026? — PredictionPulse Event

Platform Comparison

Manifold

Will Iran's regime fall in 2026?…

25.32%

33.97%

AI YES

Edge pts

Confidence

$2.4M

Volume

Detail Trade →

Manifold

Will Iran's regime fall before end of 2027?…

38.03%

38.44%

AI YES

Edge pts

Confidence

$11K

Volume

Detail Trade →

Platform Comparison

Platform	Market YES	AI YES	Edge	Confidence	Volume
Manifold Will Iran's regime fall in 2026?…	25.32%	33.97%	+5	60	$2.4M	Detail Trade →
Manifold Will Iran's regime fall before end of 2027?… near	38.03%	38.44%	+5	50	$11K	Detail Trade →

Odds by Platform

Manifold

YES 25.32% NO 74.68%

Manifold

YES 38.03% NO 61.97%

Spread: 12.7 pts — platforms disagree significantly.

⚡ AI Market Analysis

1 Market sentiment leans heavily towards regime stability.
2 The probability gap between market and AI suggests differing perspectives on potential risks.
3 A confidence level of 60 indicates moderate certainty in current predictions.
4 Time to expiry of 7036 hours allows for potential developments to influence outcomes.
5 The edge of 5 indicates that the market is fairly priced based on available information.