Will Iranian Secretary of the Supreme National Security Council Hossein Deghan still be alive on June 1st 2026?

Combined AI YES

50%

Avg Confidence

50/100

Combined Volume

$1K

Platform Comparison

Manifold

Will Iranian Secretary of the Supreme National Security Coun…

69.75%

50.00%

AI YES

-11

Edge pts

Confidence

—

Volume

Detail Trade →

Platform Comparison

Platform	Market YES	AI YES	Edge	Confidence	Volume
Manifold Will Iranian Secretary of the Supreme National Security…	69.75%	50.00%	-11	50	—	Detail Trade →

Odds by Platform

Manifold

YES 69.75% NO 30.25%

⚡ AI Market Analysis

1 Current market sentiment leans towards a positive outlook for Deghan's survival.
2 The disparity between market probability and AI probability indicates uncertainty.
3 Insufficient data contributes to the negative edge score.
4 Time until expiry is substantial, allowing for potential developments.
5 Geopolitical factors could significantly influence future market movements.

AI-generated analysis. Not financial advice.

Event Info

Category Geopolitics

Platforms 1 platform

Markets 1 market

Markets on this Event