Events › Politics › Will Kristen McDonald Rivet win the 2026 Mich…
Politics 1 platform 9 markets

Will Kristen McDonald Rivet win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?

Combined AI YES
14.2%
Avg Confidence
62/100
Combined Volume
$338K
Platform Comparison
Polymarket
Will Kristen McDonald Rivet win the 2026 Michigan Democratic…
0.25%
4.75%
AI YES
+4.5
Edge pts
60
Confidence
$104K
Volume
Polymarket
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary…
34.00%
34.00%
AI YES
0
Edge pts
60
Confidence
$79K
Volume
Polymarket
Will Matt Sahr win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?…
0.20%
4.75%
AI YES
+4.5
Edge pts
60
Confidence
$53K
Volume
Polymarket
Will Mallory McMorrow win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Prima…
50.50%
47.50%
AI YES
-3
Edge pts
60
Confidence
$25K
Volume
Polymarket
Will Rashida Tlaib win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?…
0.35%
4.80%
AI YES
+4.5
Edge pts
60
Confidence
$22K
Volume
Platform Comparison
Platform Market YES AI YES Edge Confidence Volume
Polymarket
Will Kristen McDonald Rivet win the 2026 Michigan Democ…
 0.25% 4.75% +4.5
60
$104K
Polymarket
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Pr…
near 		34.00% 34.00% 0
60
$79K
Polymarket
Will Matt Sahr win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary…
near 		0.20% 4.75% +4.5
60
$53K
Polymarket
Will Mallory McMorrow win the 2026 Michigan Democratic …
near 		50.50% 47.50% -3
60
$25K
Polymarket
Will Rashida Tlaib win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Pri…
near 		0.35% 4.80% +4.5
60
$22K
Odds by Platform
Polymarket
YES 0.25% NO 99.75%
Polymarket
YES 34.00% NO 66.00%
Polymarket
YES 0.20% NO 99.80%
Polymarket
YES 50.50% NO 49.50%
Polymarket
YES 0.35% NO 99.65%
Spread: 50.4 pts — platforms disagree significantly.
⚡ AI Market Analysis
  • 1 Current market sentiment strongly favors a NO outcome.
  • 2 Haley Stevens' recognition and support within the party are critical factors.
  • 3 The market probability aligns closely with the Pulse AI assessment.
  • 4 Time to expiry is substantial, allowing for potential shifts in dynamics.
  • 5 Confidence level indicates moderate certainty in the current market pricing.
AI-generated analysis. Not financial advice.
Event Info
Category Politics
Platforms 1 platform
Markets 9 markets
Markets on this Event
Polymarket 0.25%
Will Kristen McDonald Rivet win the 2026 Michigan Democratic…
Polymarket 34.00%
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary…
Polymarket 0.20%
Will Matt Sahr win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?…
Polymarket 50.50%
Will Mallory McMorrow win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Prima…
Polymarket 0.35%
Will Rashida Tlaib win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?…
+4 more markets
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