Events › Politics › Will Texas elect a Democrat to the U.S. Senat…
Politics 1 platform 3 markets

Will Texas elect a Democrat to the U.S. Senate in any election through 2030?

Combined AI YES
45.5%
Avg Confidence
43/100
Combined Volume
$0K
Platform Comparison
Manifold
Will Texas elect a Democrat to the U.S. Senate in any electi…
44.59%
48.09%
AI YES
+3.5
Edge pts
40
Confidence
—
Volume
Manifold
Will Texas elect a Democrat to the U.S. Senate in any electi…
39.00%
40.50%
AI YES
+3.5
Edge pts
50
Confidence
—
Volume
Manifold
Will Texas elect a Democrat to the U.S. Senate in any electi…
45.61%
49.11%
AI YES
+3.5
Edge pts
40
Confidence
—
Volume
Platform Comparison
Platform Market YES AI YES Edge Confidence Volume
Manifold
Will Texas elect a Democrat to the U.S. Senate in any e…
 44.59% 48.09% +3.5
40
—
Manifold
Will Texas elect a Democrat to the U.S. Senate in any e…
near 		39.00% 40.50% +3.5
50
—
Manifold
Will Texas elect a Democrat to the U.S. Senate in any e…
near 		45.61% 49.11% +3.5
40
—
Odds by Platform
Manifold
YES 44.59% NO 55.41%
Manifold
YES 39.00% NO 61.00%
Manifold
YES 45.61% NO 54.39%
Spread: 6.6 pts — platforms disagree significantly.
⚡ AI Market Analysis
  • 1 Current market sentiment leans towards a Republican victory.
  • 2 Historical voting patterns in Texas favor Republican candidates.
  • 3 The market shows moderate confidence with a 50/100 rating.
  • 4 Time until the election is substantial, allowing for potential shifts.
  • 5 Liquidity in the market may affect the accuracy of predictions.
AI-generated analysis. Not financial advice.
Event Info
Category Politics
Platforms 1 platform
Markets 3 markets
Markets on this Event
Manifold 44.59%
Will Texas elect a Democrat to the U.S. Senate in any electi…
Manifold 39.00%
Will Texas elect a Democrat to the U.S. Senate in any electi…
Manifold 45.61%
Will Texas elect a Democrat to the U.S. Senate in any electi…
Related Events
Will Trump say "Toyota" this week? (March 8)…
108 markets
Will Donald Trump post 0-19 Truth Social posts from March 10…
77 markets
Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential no…
58 markets
Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?…
53 markets
Will Donald Trump visit Ohio in 2026?…
53 markets