Events › Politics › Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2…
Politics 1 platform 2 markets

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Senate race in North Carolina?

Combined AI YES
70.9%
Avg Confidence
55/100
Combined Volume
$5K
Platform Comparison
Manifold
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Senate race…
81.83%
79.10%
AI YES
-7
Edge pts
55
Confidence
$4K
Volume
Manifold
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Senate race…
70.67%
62.74%
AI YES
-7
Edge pts
55
Confidence
$1K
Volume
Platform Comparison
Platform Market YES AI YES Edge Confidence Volume
Manifold
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Senate…
 81.83% 79.10% -7
55
$4K
Manifold
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Senate…
near 		70.67% 62.74% -7
55
$1K
Odds by Platform
Manifold
YES 81.83% NO 18.17%
Manifold
YES 70.67% NO 29.33%
Spread: 11.2 pts — platforms disagree significantly.
⚡ AI Market Analysis
  • 1 Current sentiment heavily favors the Democratic candidate.
  • 2 Market shows a strong confidence level of 55/100.
  • 3 The time to expiry is substantial at 5616 hours.
  • 4 The NO side's undervaluation could indicate market inefficiencies.
  • 5 Historical trends in North Carolina may influence future outcomes.
AI-generated analysis. Not financial advice.
Event Info
Category Politics
Platforms 1 platform
Markets 2 markets
Markets on this Event
Manifold 81.83%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Senate race…
Manifold 70.67%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Senate race…
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