Will the regime of Iran fall by the end of March 2026?

Platform Comparison

Manifold

Will the regime of Iran fall by the end of March 2026?…

2.00%

12.73%

AI YES

Edge pts

Confidence

$3K

Volume

Detail Trade →

Platform Comparison

Platform	Market YES	AI YES	Edge	Confidence	Volume
Manifold Will the regime of Iran fall by the end of March 2026?…	2.00%	12.73%	+5	60	$3K	Detail Trade →

Odds by Platform

Manifold

YES 2.00% NO 98.00%

⚡ AI Market Analysis

1 Market probability heavily favors regime stability at 92.27%.
2 Pulse AI suggests slightly more optimism for regime change at 12.73%.
3 The edge of 5 indicates the market is fairly priced relative to AI predictions.
4 Confidence level of 60 suggests moderate uncertainty among participants.
5 Time to expiry is limited at 394 hours, adding urgency to market dynamics.

AI-generated analysis. Not financial advice.

Event Info

Category Geopolitics

Platforms 1 platform

Markets 1 market

Markets on this Event