Will the US have state-sanctioned death squads by Jan 20th 2029?

Platform Comparison

Manifold

Will the US have state-sanctioned death squads by Jan 20th 2…

23.94%

28.94%

AI YES

Edge pts

Confidence

$1K

Volume

Detail Trade →

Platform Comparison

Platform	Market YES	AI YES	Edge	Confidence	Volume
Manifold Will the US have state-sanctioned death squads by Jan 2…	23.94%	28.94%	+5	50	$1K	Detail Trade →

Odds by Platform

Manifold

YES 23.94% NO 76.06%

⚡ AI Market Analysis

1 Market probability favors NO at 76.06%, indicating skepticism about death squads.
2 Pulse AI shows a slightly higher YES probability at 28.94%, suggesting some concern.
3 The edge of 5 indicates the market is fairly priced with no significant misalignment.
4 Confidence level is moderate at 50/100, reflecting uncertainty in the prediction.
5 Time to expiry is substantial at 24830 hours, allowing for potential shifts in sentiment.

AI-generated analysis. Not financial advice.

Event Info

Category Geopolitics

Platforms 1 platform

Markets 1 market

Markets on this Event